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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

34%

Modena

2.97

32%

Draw

3.15

35%

Brescia

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Modena xG

Total xG

2.26

1.14

Brescia xG

34%
32%
35%
ModenaDrawBrescia

2.97

34%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

32%

Modena

3.13

33%

Brescia

3.07

Win to Nil

11%

Modena

9.30

11%

Brescia

8.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.9 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 11.7 13.3 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.5 7.5 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.122
λ Away (xG) 1.141
Total xG 2.263
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.122
Modena attack strength 1.012
Modena defence strength 1.212
Brescia attack strength 0.839
Brescia defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74