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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

51%

Modena

1.95

33%

Draw

3.06

16%

Avellino

6.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Modena xG

Total xG

2.38

0.82

Avellino xG

51%
33%
16%
ModenaDrawAvellino

1.95

51%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

6.18

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

44%

Modena

2.27

21%

Avellino

4.74

Win to Nil

23%

Modena

4.44

3%

Avellino

29.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 14.5 11.9 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 11.2 9.2 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 5.8 4.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.556
λ Away (xG) 0.820
Total xG 2.376
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.046
Modena attack strength 1.045
Modena defence strength 1.097
Avellino attack strength 0.715
Avellino defence strength 1.220
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 1