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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 14 May 2027

13:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

56%

Mantova

1.79

25%

Draw

3.96

19%

Vicenza Virtus

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.77

0.97

Vicenza Virtus xG

56%
25%
19%
MantovaDrawVicenza Virtus

1.79

56%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

38%

Mantova

2.64

16%

Vicenza Virtus

6.07

Win to Nil

21%

Mantova

4.73

3%

Vicenza Virtus

32.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 10.9 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 0.970
Total xG 2.773
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Mantova attack strength 1.016
Mantova defence strength 1.066
Vicenza Virtus attack strength 0.850
Vicenza Virtus defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0