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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

37%

Mantova

2.72

31%

Draw

3.25

32%

Cesena

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.43

1.17

Cesena xG

37%
31%
32%
MantovaDrawCesena

2.72

37%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

31%

Mantova

3.23

28%

Cesena

3.53

Win to Nil

11%

Mantova

8.80

9%

Cesena

10.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.3 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.1 13.0 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.2 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.261
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 2.434
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.186
Mantova attack strength 0.897
Mantova defence strength 1.119
Cesena attack strength 0.884
Cesena defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34