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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

40%

Mantova

2.47

28%

Draw

3.52

31%

Catanzaro

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.63

1.21

Catanzaro xG

40%
28%
31%
MantovaDrawCatanzaro

2.47

40%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

30%

Mantova

3.36

24%

Catanzaro

4.11

Win to Nil

12%

Mantova

8.32

8%

Catanzaro

13.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.8 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.2 12.4 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.8 5.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.413
λ Away (xG) 1.213
Total xG 2.626
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.160
Mantova attack strength 1.033
Mantova defence strength 1.053
Catanzaro attack strength 0.994
Catanzaro defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 75