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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

54%

Frosinone

1.85

25%

Draw

3.93

21%

Spezia

4.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.79

1.02

Spezia xG

54%
25%
21%
FrosinoneDrawSpezia

1.85

54%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.85

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

36%

Frosinone

2.78

17%

Spezia

5.89

Win to Nil

19%

Frosinone

5.14

3%

Spezia

28.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.1 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.773
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.794
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 1.063
Frosinone attack strength 1.339
Frosinone defence strength 0.951
Spezia attack strength 1.009
Spezia defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54