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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

59%

Frosinone

1.70

24%

Draw

4.08

17%

Padova

5.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.81

0.92

Padova xG

59%
24%
17%
FrosinoneDrawPadova

1.70

59%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

5.98

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

40%

Frosinone

2.51

15%

Padova

6.59

Win to Nil

23%

Frosinone

4.27

3%

Padova

39.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 10.5 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.7 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.885
λ Away (xG) 0.921
Total xG 2.806
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.116
Frosinone attack strength 1.199
Frosinone defence strength 0.989
Padova attack strength 0.834
Padova defence strength 1.136
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32