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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

56%

Frosinone

1.79

29%

Draw

3.47

15%

Monza

6.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.78

0.93

Monza xG

56%
29%
15%
FrosinoneDrawMonza

1.79

56%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

6.55

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

40%

Frosinone

2.53

16%

Monza

6.38

Win to Nil

22%

Frosinone

4.52

2%

Monza

41.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 5.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.5 10.7 4.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.7 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.6 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.853
λ Away (xG) 0.927
Total xG 2.780
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.111
Frosinone attack strength 1.236
Frosinone defence strength 0.980
Monza attack strength 0.852
Monza defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 7