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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

35%

Frosinone

2.84

30%

Draw

3.39

35%

Cittadella

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.49

1.24

Cittadella xG

35%
30%
35%
FrosinoneDrawCittadella

2.84

35%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

29%

Frosinone

3.47

29%

Cittadella

3.47

Win to Nil

10%

Frosinone

9.85

10%

Cittadella

9.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.3 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.9 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.4 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.244
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 2.488
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Frosinone attack strength 0.940
Frosinone defence strength 1.291
Cittadella attack strength 0.833
Cittadella defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73