🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Frosinone cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Avellino.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Frosinone beat Avellino 2-0 at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Regular Season - 1, in the Serie B. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Frosinone 1.54 xG and Avellino 1.04 xG, a combined 2.58. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Avellino landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Frosinone attack 1.02 / defence 1.07 against Avellino attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 38/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Frosinone 48% | Draw 28% | Avellino 24%, with Frosinone to win its most likely call at 48%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights