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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

46%

Empoli

2.16

30%

Draw

3.30

24%

Monza

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.95

1.22

Monza xG

46%
30%
24%
EmpoliDrawMonza

2.16

46%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

30%

Empoli

3.38

18%

Monza

5.66

Win to Nil

14%

Empoli

7.31

4%

Monza

24.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.4 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.0 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.6 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.5 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.734
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.951
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.169
Empoli attack strength 1.125
Empoli defence strength 1.216
Monza attack strength 0.856
Monza defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 5