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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Promotion Play-offs - Final

Kick-off

Thu 29 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cremonese Win

41%

Cremonese

2.43

28%

Draw

3.61

31%

Spezia

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Cremonese xG

Total xG

2.82

1.30

Spezia xG

41%
28%
31%
CremoneseDrawSpezia

2.43

41%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

27%

Cremonese

3.67

22%

Spezia

4.56

Win to Nil

11%

Cremonese

8.93

7%

Spezia

14.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.8 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.1 11.8 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 8.9 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.5 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.518
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.818
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.141
Cremonese attack strength 1.243
Cremonese defence strength 1.105
Spezia attack strength 1.031
Spezia defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76