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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

30%

Cittadella

3.34

32%

Draw

3.09

38%

Sudtirol

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.24

1.20

Sudtirol xG

30%
32%
38%
CittadellaDrawSudtirol

3.34

30%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

30%

Cittadella

3.31

35%

Sudtirol

2.84

Win to Nil

9%

Cittadella

11.05

13%

Sudtirol

7.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.7 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.1 13.3 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.8 6.9 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.045
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.243
League avg home goals 1.208
League avg away goals 1.063
Cittadella attack strength 0.774
Cittadella defence strength 1.149
Sudtirol attack strength 0.982
Sudtirol defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66