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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
23%
4.41
35%
2.83
42%
2.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.3%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Cittadella xG
Total xG
2.01
1.19
Spezia xG
CittadellaDrawSpezia
4.41
23%
Home win
2.83
35%
Draw
2.38
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.40
58%
BTTS No
1.72
Clean Sheet
30%
3.30
44%
2.27
Win to Nil
7%
14.52
18%
5.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.3 | 15.9 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.821
λ Away (xG)
1.193
Total xG
2.014
League avg home goals
1.214
League avg away goals
1.124
Cittadella attack strength
0.904
Cittadella defence strength
0.989
Spezia attack strength
1.073
Spezia defence strength
0.748
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61