Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cittadella Win

36%

Cittadella

2.79

33%

Draw

3.00

31%

Modena

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.23

1.06

Modena xG

36%
33%
31%
CittadellaDrawModena

2.79

36%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

34%

Cittadella

2.90

31%

Modena

3.21

Win to Nil

12%

Cittadella

8.09

10%

Modena

10.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 11.4 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.3 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.3 7.8 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.166
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.231
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.078
Cittadella attack strength 0.833
Cittadella defence strength 1.072
Modena attack strength 0.922
Modena defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64