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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cittadella Win

46%

Cittadella

2.19

32%

Draw

3.13

22%

Mantova

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.44

0.98

Mantova xG

46%
32%
22%
CittadellaDrawMantova

2.19

46%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

38%

Cittadella

2.66

23%

Mantova

4.33

Win to Nil

17%

Cittadella

5.82

5%

Mantova

19.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.5 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.7 12.4 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.443
League avg home goals 1.191
League avg away goals 1.040
Cittadella attack strength 0.948
Cittadella defence strength 0.924
Mantova attack strength 1.016
Mantova defence strength 1.299
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21