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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

34%

Cittadella

2.97

29%

Draw

3.42

37%

Carrarese

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.62

1.34

Carrarese xG

34%
29%
37%
CittadellaDrawCarrarese

2.97

34%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

26%

Cittadella

3.84

28%

Carrarese

3.56

Win to Nil

9%

Cittadella

11.41

10%

Carrarese

9.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.8 6.6 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.3 12.5 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.9 7.9 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.345
Total xG 2.616
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.140
Cittadella attack strength 0.779
Cittadella defence strength 1.386
Carrarese attack strength 0.851
Carrarese defence strength 1.307
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31