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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

25%

Cittadella

4.06

33%

Draw

3.02

42%

Brescia

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.00

1.17

Brescia xG

25%
33%
42%
CittadellaDrawBrescia

4.06

25%

Home win

3.02

33%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

31%

Cittadella

3.22

43%

Brescia

2.30

Win to Nil

8%

Cittadella

13.07

18%

Brescia

5.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 15.8 9.2 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 11.2 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.7 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.833
λ Away (xG) 1.170
Total xG 2.003
League avg home goals 1.300
League avg away goals 1.165
Cittadella attack strength 0.706
Cittadella defence strength 1.213
Brescia attack strength 0.828
Brescia defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72