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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

31%

Cesena

3.25

28%

Draw

3.60

41%

Sassuolo

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.86

1.55

Sassuolo xG

31%
28%
41%
CesenaDrawSassuolo

3.25

31%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

21%

Cesena

4.72

27%

Sassuolo

3.72

Win to Nil

7%

Cesena

15.32

11%

Sassuolo

8.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.8 6.9 3.5 1.4 0.4
1 7.5 11.6 9.0 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.9 7.6 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.2 3.3 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.313
λ Away (xG) 1.551
Total xG 2.864
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.188
Cesena attack strength 0.849
Cesena defence strength 0.987
Sassuolo attack strength 1.322
Sassuolo defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33