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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

24%

Cesena

4.19

28%

Draw

3.54

48%

Palermo

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.50

1.50

Palermo xG

24%
28%
48%
CesenaDrawPalermo

4.19

24%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

22%

Cesena

4.50

37%

Palermo

2.71

Win to Nil

5%

Cesena

18.88

18%

Palermo

5.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 12.3 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.5
1 8.2 12.3 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.1 6.1 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.996
λ Away (xG) 1.505
Total xG 2.501
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Cesena attack strength 0.767
Cesena defence strength 1.052
Palermo attack strength 1.238
Palermo defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73