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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

55%

Cesena

1.83

26%

Draw

3.92

20%

Cittadella

5.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Cesena xG

Total xG

3.12

1.15

Cittadella xG

55%
26%
20%
CesenaDrawCittadella

1.83

55%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

5.02

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

32%

Cesena

3.16

14%

Cittadella

7.19

Win to Nil

17%

Cesena

5.79

3%

Cittadella

36.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 10.0 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.9 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.973
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 3.123
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.042
Cesena attack strength 1.121
Cesena defence strength 1.157
Cittadella attack strength 0.954
Cittadella defence strength 1.449
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58