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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

41%

Catanzaro

2.42

27%

Draw

3.73

32%

Sudtirol

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.90

1.34

Sudtirol xG

41%
27%
32%
CatanzaroDrawSudtirol

2.42

41%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

26%

Catanzaro

3.83

21%

Sudtirol

4.74

Win to Nil

11%

Catanzaro

9.28

7%

Sudtirol

14.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.4 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 11.5 7.7 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.5 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.557
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.144
Catanzaro attack strength 1.111
Catanzaro defence strength 1.061
Sudtirol attack strength 1.107
Sudtirol defence strength 1.064
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38