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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

59%

Catanzaro

1.70

24%

Draw

4.17

17%

Spezia

5.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

3.10

1.05

Spezia xG

59%
24%
17%
CatanzaroDrawSpezia

1.70

59%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

5.79

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

35%

Catanzaro

2.87

13%

Spezia

7.77

Win to Nil

20%

Catanzaro

4.89

2%

Spezia

44.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.050
λ Away (xG) 1.055
Total xG 3.105
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.094
Catanzaro attack strength 1.157
Catanzaro defence strength 1.041
Spezia attack strength 0.927
Spezia defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73