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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

16:15

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Catanzaro

2.93

35%

Draw

2.89

31%

Spezia

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.12

1.03

Spezia xG

34%
35%
31%
CatanzaroDrawSpezia

2.93

34%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Catanzaro

2.80

34%

Spezia

2.97

Win to Nil

12%

Catanzaro

8.20

11%

Spezia

9.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 12.4 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.1 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.118
League avg home goals 1.232
League avg away goals 1.080
Catanzaro attack strength 1.157
Catanzaro defence strength 1.069
Spezia attack strength 0.892
Spezia defence strength 0.763
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55