Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

42%

Catanzaro

2.37

27%

Draw

3.68

31%

Palermo

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.93

1.33

Palermo xG

42%
27%
31%
CatanzaroDrawPalermo

2.37

42%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

26%

Catanzaro

3.80

20%

Palermo

4.91

Win to Nil

11%

Catanzaro

9.01

6%

Palermo

16.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.2 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.5 11.4 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.1 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.592
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 2.926
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Catanzaro attack strength 1.240
Catanzaro defence strength 1.269
Palermo attack strength 0.977
Palermo defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76