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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

45%

Catanzaro

2.20

27%

Draw

3.74

28%

Palermo

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.98

1.29

Palermo xG

45%
27%
28%
CatanzaroDrawPalermo

2.20

45%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

27%

Catanzaro

3.64

18%

Palermo

5.44

Win to Nil

13%

Catanzaro

7.99

5%

Palermo

19.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.5 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 11.1 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.3 9.4 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.1 5.3 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.694
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 2.985
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.191
Catanzaro attack strength 1.246
Catanzaro defence strength 0.989
Palermo attack strength 1.095
Palermo defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71