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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

46%

Catanzaro

2.18

34%

Draw

2.97

20%

Padova

4.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.43

0.95

Padova xG

46%
34%
20%
CatanzaroDrawPadova

2.18

46%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

4.90

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

39%

Catanzaro

2.58

23%

Padova

4.40

Win to Nil

18%

Catanzaro

5.61

5%

Padova

21.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.4 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.4 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.2 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.481
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.100
Catanzaro attack strength 1.038
Catanzaro defence strength 1.087
Padova attack strength 0.791
Padova defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 7