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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Final

Kick-off

Sun 24 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

41%

Catanzaro

2.46

26%

Draw

3.89

34%

Monza

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

3.21

1.52

Monza xG

41%
26%
34%
CatanzaroDrawMonza

2.46

41%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

22%

Catanzaro

4.58

19%

Monza

5.39

Win to Nil

9%

Catanzaro

11.29

6%

Monza

15.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.2 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 6.8 10.4 7.9 4.0 1.5 0.5
2 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.2 4.9 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.684
λ Away (xG) 1.522
Total xG 3.206
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.076
Catanzaro attack strength 1.236
Catanzaro defence strength 1.261
Monza attack strength 1.122
Monza defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38