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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

52%

Catanzaro

1.94

28%

Draw

3.52

20%

Mantova

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.20

0.78

Mantova xG

52%
28%
20%
CatanzaroDrawMantova

1.94

52%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

46%

Catanzaro

2.19

24%

Mantova

4.14

Win to Nil

24%

Catanzaro

4.25

5%

Mantova

20.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.6 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 15.7 12.3 4.8 1.3 0.2
2 11.1 8.7 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.3 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.421
λ Away (xG) 0.783
Total xG 2.204
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.041
Catanzaro attack strength 1.032
Catanzaro defence strength 0.877
Mantova attack strength 0.858
Mantova defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62