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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

48%

Catanzaro

2.09

30%

Draw

3.37

23%

Cittadella

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.35

0.92

Cittadella xG

48%
30%
23%
CatanzaroDrawCittadella

2.09

48%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

40%

Catanzaro

2.50

24%

Cittadella

4.22

Win to Nil

19%

Catanzaro

5.23

5%

Cittadella

18.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 8.7 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.7 12.5 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.0 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 0.916
Total xG 2.355
League avg home goals 1.226
League avg away goals 1.101
Catanzaro attack strength 1.128
Catanzaro defence strength 0.958
Cittadella attack strength 0.868
Cittadella defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63