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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Promotion Play-offs - Qualifying Round

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

47%

Catanzaro

2.13

28%

Draw

3.62

25%

Cesena

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.71

1.12

Cesena xG

47%
28%
25%
CatanzaroDrawCesena

2.13

47%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

33%

Catanzaro

3.06

20%

Cesena

4.92

Win to Nil

15%

Catanzaro

6.53

5%

Cesena

19.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 11.8 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.0 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.593
λ Away (xG) 1.120
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.141
Catanzaro attack strength 1.204
Catanzaro defence strength 1.199
Cesena attack strength 0.818
Cesena defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38