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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Catanzaro

3.06

36%

Draw

2.79

32%

Carrarese

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.35

1.17

Carrarese xG

33%
36%
32%
CatanzaroDrawCarrarese

3.06

33%

Home win

2.79

36%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

31%

Catanzaro

3.21

30%

Carrarese

3.28

Win to Nil

10%

Catanzaro

9.83

10%

Carrarese

10.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.1 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.3 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 1.166
Total xG 2.355
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.038
Catanzaro attack strength 1.064
Catanzaro defence strength 1.046
Carrarese attack strength 1.075
Carrarese defence strength 0.915
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40