Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 8 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

64%

Catanzaro

1.56

22%

Draw

4.48

14%

Bari

7.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

3.00

0.89

Bari xG

64%
22%
14%
CatanzaroDrawBari

1.56

64%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

7.39

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

41%

Catanzaro

2.43

12%

Bari

8.22

Win to Nil

26%

Catanzaro

3.79

2%

Bari

60.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.5 9.4 4.2 1.2 0.3
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.8 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.1 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.107
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.062
Catanzaro attack strength 1.264
Catanzaro defence strength 1.119
Bari attack strength 0.748
Bari defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75