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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Tue 12 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

55%

Catanzaro

1.82

25%

Draw

3.98

20%

Avellino

5.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.92

1.06

Avellino xG

55%
25%
20%
CatanzaroDrawAvellino

1.82

55%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

5.01

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

35%

Catanzaro

2.87

16%

Avellino

6.43

Win to Nil

19%

Catanzaro

5.23

3%

Avellino

32.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.7 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.6 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.861
λ Away (xG) 1.056
Total xG 2.917
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Catanzaro attack strength 1.243
Catanzaro defence strength 1.275
Avellino attack strength 0.770
Avellino defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38