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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

51%

Catanzaro

1.96

25%

Draw

3.98

24%

Avellino

4.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

3.08

1.22

Avellino xG

51%
25%
24%
CatanzaroDrawAvellino

1.96

51%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.17

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

29%

Catanzaro

3.40

16%

Avellino

6.38

Win to Nil

15%

Catanzaro

6.68

4%

Avellino

26.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.5 10.5 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 6.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.853
λ Away (xG) 1.224
Total xG 3.077
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.049
Catanzaro attack strength 1.120
Catanzaro defence strength 1.275
Avellino attack strength 0.914
Avellino defence strength 1.255
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15