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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

51%

Carrarese

1.96

28%

Draw

3.56

21%

Mantova

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.50

0.93

Mantova xG

51%
28%
21%
CarrareseDrawMantova

1.96

51%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

39%

Carrarese

2.53

21%

Mantova

4.82

Win to Nil

20%

Carrarese

4.97

4%

Mantova

23.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.6 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.9 12.0 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.573
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.075
Carrarese attack strength 1.057
Carrarese defence strength 1.042
Mantova attack strength 0.830
Mantova defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55