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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

39%

Carrarese

2.59

29%

Draw

3.43

32%

Catanzaro

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.66

1.26

Catanzaro xG

39%
29%
32%
CarrareseDrawCatanzaro

2.59

39%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

28%

Carrarese

3.53

25%

Catanzaro

4.06

Win to Nil

11%

Carrarese

9.12

8%

Catanzaro

12.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 8.8 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.3 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.400
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.660
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 1.163
Carrarese attack strength 0.962
Carrarese defence strength 1.133
Catanzaro attack strength 0.957
Catanzaro defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70