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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

38%

Brescia

2.65

27%

Draw

3.64

35%

Sudtirol

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Brescia xG

Total xG

3.02

1.47

Sudtirol xG

38%
27%
35%
BresciaDrawSudtirol

2.65

38%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

23%

Brescia

4.36

21%

Sudtirol

4.68

Win to Nil

9%

Brescia

11.54

7%

Sudtirol

13.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 7.2 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.6 11.1 8.2 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.6 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.543
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 3.016
League avg home goals 1.240
League avg away goals 1.101
Brescia attack strength 1.024
Brescia defence strength 1.260
Sudtirol attack strength 1.062
Sudtirol defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64