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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

45%

Brescia

2.23

27%

Draw

3.66

28%

Mantova

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Brescia xG

Total xG

2.84

1.23

Mantova xG

45%
27%
28%
BresciaDrawMantova

2.23

45%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

29%

Brescia

3.41

20%

Mantova

5.01

Win to Nil

13%

Brescia

7.60

6%

Mantova

18.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 11.6 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.840
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.140
Brescia attack strength 0.909
Brescia defence strength 1.093
Mantova attack strength 0.986
Mantova defence strength 1.420
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31