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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

34%

Brescia

2.94

31%

Draw

3.28

35%

Catanzaro

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Brescia xG

Total xG

2.80

1.42

Catanzaro xG

34%
31%
35%
BresciaDrawCatanzaro

2.94

34%

Home win

3.28

31%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

24%

Brescia

4.12

25%

Catanzaro

3.99

Win to Nil

8%

Brescia

12.13

9%

Catanzaro

11.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.6 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.4 11.9 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.2 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.7 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 1.417
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.208
League avg away goals 1.102
Brescia attack strength 1.123
Brescia defence strength 1.247
Catanzaro attack strength 1.031
Catanzaro defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60