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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pisa Win

28%

Bari

3.62

30%

Draw

3.32

42%

Pisa

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Bari xG

Total xG

2.34

1.32

Pisa xG

28%
30%
42%
BariDrawPisa

3.62

28%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

27%

Bari

3.75

36%

Pisa

2.78

Win to Nil

7%

Bari

13.60

15%

Pisa

6.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 12.7 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 9.8 13.0 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.0 6.6 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.022
λ Away (xG) 1.323
Total xG 2.345
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Bari attack strength 0.963
Bari defence strength 0.983
Pisa attack strength 1.164
Pisa defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73