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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

35%

Bari

2.89

31%

Draw

3.22

34%

Palermo

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Bari xG

Total xG

2.40

1.20

Palermo xG

35%
31%
34%
BariDrawPalermo

2.89

35%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

30%

Bari

3.31

30%

Palermo

3.32

Win to Nil

10%

Bari

9.58

10%

Palermo

9.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.9 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.9 13.1 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.6 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.201
λ Away (xG) 1.197
Total xG 2.398
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.164
Bari attack strength 0.927
Bari defence strength 0.910
Palermo attack strength 1.129
Palermo defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70