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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

40%

Bari

2.50

33%

Draw

3.07

27%

Modena

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Bari xG

Total xG

2.25

1.00

Modena xG

40%
33%
27%
BariDrawModena

2.50

40%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

37%

Bari

2.71

29%

Modena

3.49

Win to Nil

15%

Bari

6.76

8%

Modena

12.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.5 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.250
λ Away (xG) 0.996
Total xG 2.246
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.183
Bari attack strength 0.974
Bari defence strength 0.895
Modena attack strength 0.941
Modena defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71