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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

50%

Bari

1.99

31%

Draw

3.22

19%

Frosinone

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Bari xG

Total xG

2.24

0.80

Frosinone xG

50%
31%
19%
BariDrawFrosinone

1.99

50%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

45%

Bari

2.22

24%

Frosinone

4.21

Win to Nil

23%

Bari

4.43

4%

Frosinone

22.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 15.4 12.3 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 11.0 8.8 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.3 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 2.237
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.107
Bari attack strength 1.032
Bari defence strength 0.977
Frosinone attack strength 0.739
Frosinone defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23