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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cremonese Win

30%

Bari

3.34

31%

Draw

3.19

39%

Cremonese

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Bari xG

Total xG

2.29

1.23

Cremonese xG

30%
31%
39%
BariDrawCremonese

3.34

30%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

29%

Bari

3.43

35%

Cremonese

2.87

Win to Nil

9%

Bari

11.47

13%

Cremonese

7.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 10.7 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 5.6 7.0 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.054
λ Away (xG) 1.233
Total xG 2.287
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.093
Bari attack strength 1.079
Bari defence strength 1.010
Cremonese attack strength 1.118
Cremonese defence strength 0.788
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63