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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

35%

Bari

2.89

31%

Draw

3.21

34%

Catanzaro

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Bari xG

Total xG

2.27

1.13

Catanzaro xG

35%
31%
34%
BariDrawCatanzaro

2.89

35%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

32%

Bari

3.11

32%

Catanzaro

3.12

Win to Nil

11%

Bari

9.00

11%

Catanzaro

9.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 11.7 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.7 13.3 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.7 7.6 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.5 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.138
λ Away (xG) 1.134
Total xG 2.272
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.056
Bari attack strength 0.959
Bari defence strength 1.007
Catanzaro attack strength 1.066
Catanzaro defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54