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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Avellino Win

43%

Avellino

2.33

33%

Draw

3.01

24%

Virtus Entella

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Avellino xG

Total xG

2.59

1.09

Virtus Entella xG

43%
33%
24%
AvellinoDrawVirtus Entella

2.33

43%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

34%

Avellino

2.97

22%

Virtus Entella

4.47

Win to Nil

14%

Avellino

6.92

5%

Virtus Entella

18.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.2 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.3 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.4 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.497
λ Away (xG) 1.089
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.140
Avellino attack strength 0.968
Avellino defence strength 1.134
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.842
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.207
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 4