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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arezzo Win
38%
2.64
29%
3.47
33%
3.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
0 – 1
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
Arezzo xG
Total xG
2.63
1.27
Mantova xG
ArezzoDrawMantova
2.64
38%
Home win
3.47
29%
Draw
3.00
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.83
45%
BTTS No
2.21
Clean Sheet
28%
3.55
26%
3.91
Win to Nil
11%
9.37
9%
11.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.363
λ Away (xG)
1.266
Total xG
2.629
League avg home goals
1.543
League avg away goals
1.071
Arezzo attack strength
0.850
Arezzo defence strength
1.150
Mantova attack strength
1.028
Mantova defence strength
1.039
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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