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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

17%

Venezia

5.72

29%

Draw

3.47

54%

Napoli

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

0 – 2

11.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.35

1.55

Napoli xG

17%
29%
54%
VeneziaDrawNapoli

5.72

17%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

21%

Venezia

4.74

45%

Napoli

2.21

Win to Nil

4%

Venezia

27.09

24%

Napoli

4.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 14.8 11.5 6.0 2.3 0.7
1 7.6 11.8 9.2 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 3.0 4.7 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.795
λ Away (xG) 1.555
Total xG 2.350
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.238
Venezia attack strength 0.705
Venezia defence strength 0.985
Napoli attack strength 1.275
Napoli defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66