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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

42%

Venezia

2.39

33%

Draw

3.01

25%

Monza

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.08

0.88

Monza xG

42%
33%
25%
VeneziaDrawMonza

2.39

42%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

42%

Venezia

2.40

30%

Monza

3.34

Win to Nil

17%

Venezia

5.75

7%

Monza

13.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.9 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.0 13.2 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 0.877
Total xG 2.082
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.181
Venezia attack strength 0.616
Venezia defence strength 0.925
Monza attack strength 0.803
Monza defence strength 1.556
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69